Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.400481 0.463946 0.533496 0.615275 0.708704 0.812012 0.934803
2025-06-29 0.281987 0.364678 0.464795 0.594484 0.757554 0.955278 1.212644
2025-07-06 0.218262 0.306161 0.420653 0.579761 0.794067 1.071487 1.456409
2025-07-13 0.184933 0.277235 0.404823 0.592478 0.859534 1.223664 1.754980
2025-07-20 0.165675 0.263003 0.404573 0.623103 0.948923 1.412992 2.119230
2025-07-27 0.147778 0.247137 0.398492 0.642521 1.021848 1.583527 2.470764
2025-08-03 0.130423 0.228993 0.385742 0.648860 1.073867 1.725977 2.791668
2025-08-10 0.114420 0.210368 0.369255 0.646243 1.109972 1.845403 3.085645
2025-08-17 0.100082 0.192292 0.351001 0.637781 1.134419 1.946877 3.357939
2025-08-24 0.088233 0.176804 0.334948 0.630576 1.159113 2.049317 3.638536
2025-08-31 0.076213 0.159193 0.312809 0.609696 1.157256 2.106001 3.845502
2025-09-07 0.073092 0.158201 0.320694 0.643751 1.255482 2.341050 4.376555
2025-09-14 0.063348 0.142822 0.300009 0.622765 1.252480 2.400586 4.608501
2025-09-21 0.055148 0.129455 0.281627 0.604143 1.252064 2.464886 4.855256
2025-09-28 0.048458 0.118291 0.266190 0.589356 1.257039 2.538689 5.124500
2025-10-05 0.045088 0.114012 0.264460 0.602281 1.317897 2.722583 5.615949
2025-10-12 0.043526 0.113675 0.271072 0.633381 1.418460 2.990944 6.291043
2025-10-19 0.041176 0.111101 0.272411 0.653099 1.496927 3.221506 6.908790
2025-10-26 0.038097 0.106266 0.268026 0.659536 1.547455 3.399362 7.433598
2025-11-02 0.034751 0.100232 0.260082 0.656879 1.577601 3.537132 7.885821
2025-11-09 0.031407 0.093687 0.250098 0.648287 1.593502 3.645909 8.285211
2025-11-16 0.028492 0.087842 0.241094 0.640970 1.611426 3.760014 8.703868
2025-11-23 0.025190 0.080384 0.227083 0.619767 1.594819 3.797301 8.958731